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Monday, December 22, 2014

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Risk Analysis 2014 Post Conference Report



Oveview

Risk Analysis 2014

The ninth International Conference on Risk Analysis and Hazard
Mitigation (Risk Analysis 2014) was held in the New Forest, UK, home of
the Wessex Institute. The meeting was chaired by Prof Carlos Brebbia,
Director of WIT, and sponsored by the International Journal of Safety
and Security Engineering.




The series of conferences started in 1998 when the first meeting was
held in Valencia, to be continued in Bologna (2000), Sintra (2002),
Rhodes (2004), Malta (2006), Cephalonia (2008), The Algarve (2010) and
the island of Brac in 2012.




Risk Analysis 2014, like the previous conferences, covered many
aspects of risk management and hazard mitigation, associated with both
natural and anthropogenic hazards.




Current events help to emphasise the importance of the analysed
management of risks to planners and researchers around the world.
Natural hazards such as floods, earthquakes, landslides, fires and
others have always affected human societies. The more recent emergence
of the importance of man-made hazards is a consequence of the rapid
technological advances made in the last few centuries, as well as
demographic changes. The interaction of nature and man-made risks adds
to the complexity of the problems.




Prof Carlos Brebbia opened the conference by welcoming the delegates
in the name of his Institute and explaining the importance of the
conference series amongst the activities of WIT. The objective of the
Institute – Carlos said – is to act as a mechanism for knowledge
transfer across different disciplines at an international level. This
work is carried out through industrial research and development
including the continuous evolution of the original boundary element
codes developed by WIT. This has resulted in a close collaboration
between the Institute and major industrial companies around the world,
focusing on developing software tools serving the energy and aerospace
industry, as well as engineering in general.




Another way in which the Institute disseminates knowledge is through
its publishing programme. This is the responsibility of WIT Press, the
publishers of the conference book. WIT Press has expanded significantly
in the last few years, producing a significant number of books other
than conference proceedings, as well as a growing number of
international journals.




Carlos ended by explaining that the conference programme included a
visit to the Wessex Institute campus where the delegates were invited to
a lamb BBQ. Participants would have the opportunity of knowing more
about the work of WIT as well as seeing the research and residential
facilities available.




The papers presented at the Conference covered a wide variety of
topics related to risk analysis and hazard mitigation. They were
published in Volume 47 of the WIT Transactions on Information and
Communication Technologies. All papers were also archived in the WIT
eLibrary (
http://library.witpress.com/), where they are permanently available to the international scientific and engineering community.

 

 Conference Topics


The Conference included a series of excellent presentations in a
variety of topics. They were grouped under the following headings:




  • Risk analysis and assessment
  • Risk management
  • Hazard prevention, management and control
  • Vulnerability assessment
  • Disaster management
  • Emergency management
  • Flood hazards
  • Safety and security

 

 Invited Presentations


There were four invited lectures delivered by well known specialists, they included:




  • “On spatial uncertainty in hazard and risk assessment”, by Andrea Fabbri, University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy.
  • “Catastrophic oil spill and analysis”, by Zhen-Gang Ji, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, USA.
  • “The acceptability of risks from natural disasters”, by Donald J
    Higson, Consultant Engineer, Fellow of the Institute of Engineers,
    Australia.
  • “The safety of marine navigation based on a game theory”, by Jozef Lisowski, Gdynia Maritime University, Poland.

 

 Social Occasions


The Conference offered numerous occasions for the delegates to
interact during and outside the formal sessions. In addition to coffee
breaks and complimentary lunches, they were invited to a lunch time BBQ
at the Campus of the Wessex Institute where they had the opportunity of
seeing the work carried out at the Institute and visit some of the
premises. The BBQ provided an occasion of getting to know each other in a
relaxed setting. The weather – up to then unstable - was sunny and warm
for the occasion.




The Conference banquet took place in the unique setting of the
Rhinefield Lodge, an impressive Manor House in the New Forest, now
converted into a luxury hotel.




The guests were able to see some of the main rooms in the building,
including the entrance hall with its hammerbeam roof and its ancient
fireplace - the only remainder of the old hunting lodge; the panelled
dining-room with its wood carving of the battle of Trafalgar, and the
Moorish room, built in a style reminiscent of the Alhambra.




The house, built in 1890 by the Munro-Walker family, resembles a
ScottishCastle from the outside but its rooms combine a wide variety of
styles. It is surrounded by a most beautiful English garden with its
ponds, maze, grass amphitheatre and many interesting shrubs and trees.




Carlos explained to the delegates the history of Rhinefield House and
the Munro-Walker family and thanked them for supporting the meeting.
The menu consisted of lamb, for which Hampshire is renowned, accompanied
by excellent wines. The evening was most enjoyable and the delegates
appreciated the occasion to see different parts of the venue.




 Closing of the Conference


Carlos closed the conference thanking all the delegates for their
presence and hoping that they will be joining other WIT Conferences in
the future. He reminded them that WIT Press is happy to consider books
or articles that they may wish to publish in one of the WIT Journals. He
also hoped that they will be visiting the Ashurst Lodge Campus when
they are in the region.




 Conference Proceedings


The proceedings Risk Analysis 2014 – Risk Analysis IX, 552pp (Print
ISBN: 978-1-84564-792-6; eISBN: 978-1-84564-793-3) are available from
WIT Press. Orders can be placed on the WIT Press web site at
www.witpress.com or by email:
marketing@witpress.com, telephone: +44 (0) 238 029 3223 or fax: +44 (0) 238 029 2853.



Papers from the conference will also be hosted online at the WIT
eLibrary as Volume 47 of WIT Transactions on Information and
Communication Technologies (ISSN: 1746-4463, Digital ISSN 1743-3517).
For more details visit the WIT eLibrary at
http://library.witpress.com

HPSM/OPTI 2014 Post Conference Report



 Overview

HPSM/OPTI 2014

The 7
th International Conference on High Performance and
Optimum Design of Structures and Materials (HPSM) recently took place in
Ostend, Belgium. The meeting incorporated the seminar on Optimum Design
in Engineering (OPTI) and was organised by the University of Brussels,
the University of La Coruña and the Wessex Institute.




Some 125 years ago, the Paris World Exhibition of 1889, commemorating
the anniversary of the French Revolution, unveiled the Eiffel Tower,
proof of the new possibilities offered by improved performances of
construction materials and the “natural design” methodology introduced
by Gustave Eiffel. The latter profited from a then dramatic development
of the “mechanics of materials and structures”, as a consequence of new
needs introduced by the industrial revolution. As this change in the
city landscape was obvious in Europe, most towns saw an explosive growth
of its cities; the famous “skyscraper”, so celebrated by Louis
Sullivan, compensated by the lack of space in the cities, was developed
as an answer to “new challenges”, ie the construction in the vertical
direction, and also in the circulation, the latter being solved with the
invention of the elevator by Elisha Otis.




More recently, during the nineties and with the coming change of the
century, the “Millennium” obsession set in, again not in the least in
the world of structural engineering; every significant town in the world
wanted its own landmark construction, commemorating the symbolic date
of 2000.




Those were the years of great creativity and those constructions now
stand as witness of civil and structural engineering skills. They
benefited from an improved technical collaboration between the
designers, the engineers and the constructors, principally due to the
developments in the field of calculation and construction tools, but
also due to the possibility of creating lightweight, high rise and long
span structures.




Another reason for the dramatic changes taking place during the last
twenty years is the evolution in technical awareness, the building team
in its entirety is nowadays convinced that they should be accountable
for the totality of the “design, build, operate, maintain and
permanently recycle components and materials” process in which they
participate.




The construction industry is one of the most significant contributors
to greenhouse gas production, energy consumption – including embedded
energy – and also in waste production. These should be compensated by a
constant search for durability of adapted solutions through the
development of “sustainable design”.




During the whole design and build process, a continuous need is felt
to “optimise” the construction and this process is today present at the
first stage of conceptual design. Important efforts are thus made to
include optimisation techniques during the preliminary design phase.
Additionally, modern tools nowadays also allow for the simulation of the
whole life cycle of a construction.




The HPSM series of conferences originated in Seville in 2002 and
continued in Ancona (2004), Ostend (2006), The Algarve (2008), Tallinn
(2010) and the New Forest, home of the Wessex Institute in 2012. The
Computer Aided Optimum Design in Engineering (OPTI) seminars have an
even older trajectory, they started in Southampton in 1989 and
reconvened thereafter in Boston (1991); Zaragoza (1993); Miami (1995);
Rome (1997); Orlando (1999); Bologna (2001); Detroit (2003); Skiathos
(2005); Myrtle Beach (2007); The Algarve (2009) and the New Forest
(2012).




It was felt appropriate to bring together these two prestigious
meetings to stress the importance of design optimisation to achieve the
best performance of structures and material systems. The first
conference brought together people from academia and industry involved
with design, manufacture, testing and optimisation of challenging
structures and innovative materials using the most up to date
technologies.




 Opening of the Conference


The Conference was opened by Prof Carlos A Brebbia who referred to
the core objective of the Wessex Institute, to act as a link for
transfer of scientific information at an international level.




Carlos explained that evolution of the original research on boundary
elements originated at the Institute, converting the technique into a
tool for industrial use. The resulting computer programmes continue to
be developed as a result of the research being carried out by WIT from
its New Forest campus. This research has led to a series of Boundary
Element Software systems now being applied in the energy and aerospace
industries, amongst others.




The success of WIT industrial R & D activities is matched by the
rapid growth of WIT Press, the publishing arm of the Institute. It
publishes a substantial number of books each year, including those of
the WIT Transactions. In addition, WIT Press has launched five journals
and is planning to increase the number in the near future.




Carlos stressed the importance of the conference programme in terms
of interaction and developing joint research projects. Conference
participants also provide important feedback to WIT which helps to put
together an ever evolving conference programme.




Finally, Carlos mentioned the importance of the Prigogine Medal,
which is given every year to an important scientist whose work has been
influenced by Ilya Prigogine, Nobel Prize Winner for Chemistry.
Prigogine, although born in Russia, was educated and lived all his life
in Belgium. His evolutionary systems theory has profound influence in a
wide variety of sciences, including ecology and many others. He was an
Honorary Chairman of one of WIT’s conferences and upon his death, WIT in
association with the University of Siena, established a medal in his
honour. This year the award will take place at the University of Siena,
honouring a researcher who has been actively involved in studies related
to the nature of water.




Following Carlos’ remarks, Prof Patrick De Wilde, Co-Chairman of the
conference, welcomed the delegates to Ostend, his home town. The town is
renowned for its sandy beaches and attractive buildings developed at
the time of Leopold II who made it his summer holiday location.




Finally, Santiago Hernandez, also Co-Chair of the conference,
explained the importance of the meeting and talked about its history,
particularly that of the OPTI seminars, now incorporated into the HPSM
conference.




 Invited Presentations


A series of invited presentations enhanced the conference series:




  • “The application of differential evolution of HVAC optimization”, by Robert Derksen, University of Manitoba, Canada.
  • “Atypical design optimisation of structures: case studies”, by Alireza Maheri, Northumbria University, UK.
  • “Optimization of steel penstock in a bored tunnel”, by Stojan Kravanja, University of Maribor, Slovenia.
  • “Heat transfer analyses of natural fibre composites”, by Hitoshi Takagi, University of Tokushima, Japan.
  • “The effect of crystallinity on the mechanical properties of plain
    woven carbon reinforced composites using polypropylene”, by Kenichi
    Takemura, Kanagawa University, Japan.
  • “Synergy between structural and architectural engineering: the point
    of view of the structural engineer”, by Patrick De Wilde, Free
    University of Brussels, Belgium.
  • “Lightweight transformable structures: materialising the synergy
    between architectural and structural engineering”, by Niels De
    Temmerman, Free University of Brussels, Belgium.
  • “Generalization of Michel’s solution of plane problem theory of
    elasticity in polar coordinates in the event of a radially inhomogenous
    body”, by Vladimir Andreev.

 

 Special Seminars


There were two special seminars organised for the conference. The
first of them by Prof Hitoshi Takagi and Tsutao Katayama, the former
from the University of Tokushima and the latter from Doshisha University
in Japan. In addition to Takagi’s paper on “Heat transfer analyses of
natural fibre composites”, the other presentations included:




  • Fabrication and material characterisation of carbon nanotube verified polylactides
  • Heating of carbon film reinforced thermolistic CRRTP dies using high frequency currents.

The other special session, organised by Kenichi Takemura of Kanagawa
University and Kazuto Tanaka of Doshisha University, Japan, consisted of
a substantial number of papers in addition to Takemura’s own
contribution on the mechanical properties of carbon reinforced
composites. The papers covered the following topics:




  • “FEM analysis of a temperature distribution of CFRTP pipe mold with direct resistance heating”
  • “CFRTP molding method of the three-dimensional shape by using direct resistance heating to carbon fiber”
  • “Effect of the molecular weight of polycarbonate on the impact
    resistance of continuous carbon fiber reinforced polycarbonate
    composites”
  • “Evaluation of the interfacial and interlaminar shear strength of
    carbon fiber reinforced polycarbonate made by a unidirectional sheet”
  • “High-speed compression molding of continuous carbon fiber reinforced polypropylene”
  • “Formability evaluation of carbon fiber NCF by a non-contact 3D
    strain measurement system and the effects of blank folder force on its
    formability”
  • “The mode I interlaminar fracture toughness of carbon fiber/epoxy resin composite with freezing after water absorption”

 

 Conference Topics


The rest of the papers were classified into the following topics:




  • Material characterisation
  • Experiments and numerical analysis
  • Composite materials and structures
  • Green composites
  • Components for automotive applications
  • Structural optimisation
  • Optimisation problems
  • Steel structures
  • Timber structures
  • Corrosion problems
  • Surface modification
  • Innovative techniques
  • Heritage construction
  • Sustainable solutions

 

 Special Seminar


A special feature of the conference was the special seminar arranged
on Wednesday morning with another WIT conference called Mobile,
Adaptable and Rapidly Assembled Structures (MARAS) which highlighted
some of the presentations of interest to both audiences.




Prof Patrick de Wilde introduced the two keynote addresses in this
special session dedicated to bringing together natural and structural
scientists and architects, stressing the importance of interaction and
collaboration.




The first of the talks was given by Prof Lincy Pyl, from the
Department of Mechanics and Material Construction, at the Free
University of Brussels. She is a specialist in numerical modelling and
steel structures. Her talk dealt with the synergy between structural and
architectural engineering from the point of view of the structural
engineer.




Lincy discussed the requirements that both professions ought to
consider for the conceptual design of any building in order to achieve
the best design in terms not only of strength but also the typology most
appropriate to the problem. Lincy showed a number of case studies where
the importance of the collaboration between the structural engineer and
the architect was clearly shown.




The other keynote address was given by Prof Niels De Temmerman, also
from the Free University of Brussels, who also spoke of the need to
collaborate closely across different types of engineering (civil,
structural, mechanical, electrical etc) and the architect. He
particularly referred to the case of transformable structures. There
should be a few component types and sets of mechanics that allow them to
be rapidly deployed. He presented several case studies including some
scissor type structures developed and built by his research group.




 ISAC Dinner


The International Scientific Advisory Committee (ISAC) of the
conference met over dinner to discuss how the meeting can be improved
when it is reconvened in 2016. The dinner took place in a restaurant
offering outstanding Flemish cuisine. The discussion concentrated on new
topics for inclusion in the Call for Papers, in order for the
conference to continue evolving and attracting original contributions. A
few nominations were discussed for new members of the Board, as well as
where to hold the 2016 meeting.




Following the ISAC meeting, Carlos asked for any comments or
suggestions on how to promote the new International Journal of
Computational Methods and Experimental Measurements. The publication
launched in 2013 continues to attract excellent papers and is well
suited as a venue for publication of extended versions of the papers
published at the meeting.




 Social Occasions


The Conference offered many opportunities for delegates to interact
with each other in a fresh environment, including lunches taken
together, in addition to coffee breaks. The location of the hotel facing
the sea on the long Ostend promenade was conducive to strolling
together in a very relaxed manner, characteristic of Ostend. The
excellent quality of the restaurants added to the pleasure and success
of the conference.




Before the Conference banquet, Patrick de Wilde gave a short talk
regarding the history of Ostend, which started as a small fishing
village but rapidly grew in importance because of its excellent port
facilities. Trading was for a long time the main strength of its
economy, which grew to compete with that of the Dutch East India
Company. The highlight of the city’s history was a three years’ long
siege by Spanish forces. Although the city was eventually taken, its
heroic resistance became part of the local folklore. The city suffered
during the two World Wars, due to its strategic importance as a port.
Ostend is now a vibrant seaside resort with many cultural events as well
as renowned beaches. The reputation of Ostend as a holiday resort was
started by Leopold II, King of Belgium and Congo, who built the
promenade, hotel, racecourse and numerous parks during another golden
period of the town’s history. Nowadays, Ostend is once again associated
with charming and relaxing seaside holidays.




The Conference banquet took place in a fort built by Napoleon to
control access to the port of Ostend. The fort has been renovated and
comprises an excellent restaurant with terrace from which it is possible
to have a panoramic view of Ostend. The delegates were welcomed with a
glass of spumante and a taste of the local beer, including the famous
Koite beer originated during the siege of Ostend, when the city was
surrounded by the strong army. The food – as usual in Ostend – was
excellent and accompanied by good wines, resulting in a most happy and
friendly evening. On their way to the Fort and back Anne Marie de Wilde,
Patrick’s wife, described the different sights and some of the local
history.




 Closing of the Conference


The Conference was closed by Carlos who, after thanking the delegates
for having come, expressed his wish that they will continue to
collaborate with WIT in the future and consider visiting the Institute
next time they are in the region. This will allow them to appreciate
better the work carried out by WIT.


 

 Conference Proceedings


The proceedings HPSM 2014 – High Performance and Optimum Design of
Structures and Materials, 704pp (Print ISBN: 978-1-84564-774-2; eISBN:
978-1-84564-775-9) are available from WIT Press. Orders can be placed on
the WIT Press web site at www.witpress.com or by email:
marketing@witpress.com, telephone: +44 (0) 238 029 3223 or fax: +44 (0) 238 029 2853.



Papers from the conference will also be hosted online at the WIT
eLibrary as Volume 137 of WIT Transactions on the Built Environment
(ISSN: 1746-4498, Digital ISSN 1743-3509). For more details visit the
WIT eLibrary at
http://library.witpress.com

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